NASCAR Betting by the Numbers: Homestead-Miami Championship Predictions & Picks


With the 2018 NASCAR season coming to an end this weekend at Homestead-Miami, race fans will have their final chance to earn a little additional cash for another 3 weeks. Not only is that the race sure to be an exciting one, the 2018 NASCAR Champion will be crowned. This means, NASCAR fans have the pleasure of two distinct major betting opportunities to take advantage of.

While Vegas has released their chances for every single driver to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami, I’ve compiled data that shows slightly different outcomes. By choosing to ignore past year’s performances in this track and rather focus on season end averages according to 1.5 mile track performances, I have created a list of drivers that are likely to win this weekend. This listing also allows us to appraise each driver’s betting return based on their own Vegas odds.

Vegas Odds
Kevin Harvick: 11/4
Kyle Busch: 11/4
Kyle Larson: 3/1
Martin Truex Jr.: 6/1
Joey Logano: 10/1
Brad Keselowski: 15/1
Chase Elliott: 20/1
Denny Hamlin: 20/1
Clint Bowyer: 25/1
Kurt Busch: 25/1
Eric Jones: 30/1
Aric Almirola: 40/1
Ryan Blaney: 40/1
Austin Dillon: 80/1
Jimmie Johnson: 80/1
Daniel Su??rez: 100/1
1.5 Mile Finish Averages
Kyle Busch: 5.4 (2) ^1
Joey Logano: 7.25 (5) ^3
Martin Truex Jr.: 8.9 (4) ^1
Kevin Harvick: 9.3 (1) v3
Kyle Larson: 9.6 (3) v2
Brad Keselowski: 9.7 (6) —
Austin Dillon: 10.4 (14) ^7
Eric Jones: 10.6 (11) ^3
Aric Almirola: 12.6 (12) ^3
Ryan Blaney: 12.7 (13) ^3
Clint Bowyer: 13 (9) v2
Kurt Busch: 13 (10) v2
Chase Elliott: 13.9 (7) v6
Denny Hamlin: 14.8 (8) v6
Jimmie Johnson: 17.6 (15) —
Daniel Su??rez: 19.25 (16) —

Read more: txnewsfeed.com

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