NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

After launching at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR in Watkins Glen chances, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two in Watkins Glen, but his last win at The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen last year and can be listed at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen picks, you want to see exactly what SportsLine’s innovative computer model must say.

The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has a proven history in multiple sports. It also forces McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events like this are in his blood, and his model was crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has made several enormous calls this year, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. It also nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and two of the top five at Daytona, simply to name a couple. Anyone following its picks this year is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is secured, SportsLine mimicked the occasion 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

One surprising pick from the model for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances to triumph at 6-1, does not sniff the best 10. He’s a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his stellar beginning place of third.

Elliott remains in search of his initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series triumph. He has cracked the top 10 in four of his past seven starts, but was just 19th in Chicago and 34th in Daytona a month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 miles ) in the last practices for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the model says he’s a favorite to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best odds at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.

He’s had plenty of success on street tracks, such as winning last year. But he’s a risky pick at these odds because he has an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of the last six races here. There are better values available in this affluent Go Bowling in The Glen field.

Rather, the version is targeting two enormous underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could strike it wealthy.

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